Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Election 2012

Immediately after Barack Hussein Obama won a second national election, there were murmurs on the right about adapting to new political realities. The blustery coalition of conservative Christians, emissaries from the Old South, and the Chamber of Commerce that has blocked progressive change since the end of the last century now confronts its endgame.

Yet this protracted fight is far from over. Sensing the racial and ethnic trend-lines, the Right has attacked democracy at its core by seeking to suppress the vote under the false mantle of election integrity. And the conservative block on the Supreme Court has signaled it intends to cut out the heart of the Voting Rights Act. Those who thought the campaign to unravel the hard-won gains of labor had reached a plateau now have Wisconsin and Michigan to contemplate. And it’s worth remembering that the current platform of a major party denies women the right to make decisions over their own bodies and calls for a constitutional amendment to deny gay people the rights of citizenship.

It is always tempting to see all of this through the prism of race—as suggested by the overlay of the map of present-day red states with the map of pro-slavery states from 1845. And while the multi-culturalism of the new majority should warm the hearts of the generation that won the fight in Selma, this is hardly a post-racial moment if you reflect on how the basic indices of American life—employment, education level, income, public health—are still riven by race.

Yet coming out of this last election, there is an opportunity for an overture to voters in the South and in the middle of the country whom progressives have largely ignored. While Marco Rubio and Paul Ryan are busy fashioning a new cosmetics of inclusion, progressives should be communicating with those regional constituencies that are in many instances much closer to shedding their crimson tag than the simplistic portrayals on CNN would suggest.

The efforts of Labor and other progressive groups to educate voters and get out the vote helped tip the balance in the 2012 cycle, but change in the long term will not be achieved solely on the impetus of national elections. Occupants of the big tent of modern progressivism need to plant their flags in the counties that the McConnells and Cantors take for granted. The progressive base needs to support candidates of color at the state and municipal levels. During the Reagan years, the Catholic Bishops contributed to the national debate over poverty and the bankruptcy of nuclear weapons—where are the voices from communities of faith today on the pain inflicted by rightwing budgets, and the challenge to human survival posed by climate change? It didn’t hurt Sherrod Brown to stand up for working people in Ohio, and that radical principle will find plenty of receptive audiences in Texas and the Carolinas, where public and private pensions are under attack.

If you raise the volume on progressive values and ideas, you will move the political center.

Nor are Democrats off the hook. Any prescription for a new twenty-first century politics has to include new thinking from the center-left. As wealth inequality continues to grow, as the wages and pensions of working people stagnate or lose ground and incoming generations of Americans can’t find work, and as indifference to global warming takes a mounting toll, it won’t be enough for Democrats merely to be on the winning side of the rights equation, touting the digital information age while the outmoded carbon-addicted economy sputters on.

A generation ago, Polly Rothstein set out to build a pro-choice majority in Westchester County, an area of downstate New York heavily populated with traditional ethnic communities. She understood that women who were silent at the family table would vote their interest in the privacy of the polling booth, and over time she tenaciously moved the women’s rights agenda to a position of primacy in Westchester politics.

Polly and thousands of activists of her generation fought for progressive ideas that today have entered the mainstream, and you won’t find better evidence of their legacy than the exuberant tapestry of Americans who came together in November to give Obama a second term. While the Right scrambles to appear more sensitive to changes in public attitudes and demographics, progressives have the best opportunity in memory to build a permanent majority around a progressive agenda.

Hamilton Fish, the publisher of this newsletter, is a former publisher of The Nation magazine and a producer of the films of Marcel Ophuls.


Also in this issue: The Supreme Court vs. Black Voters in Alabama and Voting Rights on the Chopping Block.

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SIGWashington Spectator Karl Rove creditFor 30 years, Karl Rove has won elections by a formula that depended on deceit and defamation. A whispering campaign that described Texas Governor Ann Richards as a closet lesbian; an announcement that two aides working for Texas Agriculture Commissioner Jim Hightower would be indicted (before Justice Department lawyers made any announcement about indictments); rumors of John McCain’s illegitimate black child that circulated in South Carolina after McCain defeated George W. Bush in the 2000 New Hampshire primary; rumors about Cindy McCain’s drug habit; a national media campaign that turned John Kerry’s service in Vietnam into a liability.

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Democrats picked up four seats in Oregon’s House, breaking a 30–30 deadlock (and making Tina Kotek the first openly lesbian speaker in any legislature in the U.S.). A Democratic governor and Democratic Legislature now confront $16 billion in unfunded liabilities in a Public Employee Retirement System that has lost 27 percent of its value since the recession began in 2008. Democrats couldn’t have taken back the House, or defended a 16–14 Senate majority, without the support of public-employee unions.

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I was covering the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in February 2008 when right-wing radio commentator Laura Ingraham introduced Mitt Romney as "the conservative's conservative." Ingraham had no clue that Romney would conclude his speech by accounting that he was withdrawing from the race, handing the nomination to John McCain.

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If right-wing donors got little for their investment in the most expensive election in history, progressive funders prevailed. In the most expensive 2012 Senate race, Democrat Tim Kaine’s win in Virginia’s open seat, outside parties spent more than $50 million, with $20.7 million going to Kaine and $29.6 to his opponent, former governor and senator George Allen. Winners in the outside funding contest include:

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The Republican primary process has served the purpose of winnowing out the Republican party's sideshow candidates. But not before they succeeded in inflicting real harm on the country — in small ways and in much larger ones, such as convincing a segment of the public that the scientific research on which the future of the planet depends is not valid.

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"If Newt Gingrich is the nominee. Wow!"

That's how Massachusetts Congressman Barney Frank responded to Gingrich's ascent in the polls. Frank believes a Gingrich candidacy would be a godsend for Barack Obama, and might again make Democrats the majority party in the House. That Barney Frank is a Newt Gingrich antagonist is not exactly news. Google "liar and lobbyist," and the first 17 stories are accounts of Frank responding to Gingrich's risible claim that Freddie Mac paid him more than $1.5 million for his services as a historian. "There are two 'L' words that apply with Newt," Frank said on MSNBC. "Lobbyist and liar."

Yet Frank's partisan opinion shouldn't be disregarded. Frank was elected two years after Gingrich drove a beleaguered Democrat into retirement by running two grueling campaigns against him, then defeated a weaker candidate in 1978. He is ending a remarkable career in which his mastery of the arcana of banking regulation was critical to passing the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill in 2010. Both Democrats and Republicans consider Frank an "institutionalist" — one of a vanishing breed of members devoted to the rules and norms of the House.

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The Republican presidential candidates are laying out their foreign policy positions at a November 15 debate sponsored by CNN, the Heritage Foundation, and the American Enterprise Institute. (The Manhattan Institute is preoccupied up with a conference on the legacy of Friedrich Hayek.) While foreign-policy positions don't win or lose elections, George W. Bush's two terms are a reminder of how critically important foreign policy is.

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Republicans v. Planned Parenthood— House Republicans have twice failed to defund Planned Parenthood this year, but Cliff Stearns won't quit. The Florida Republican, who chairs the House Oversight and Investigations Subcommittee, has ordered all 83 Planned Parenthood state affiliates to deliver internal audit reports covering a 12-year period, state audits covering a 20-year period, and detailed information regarding billing and referral practices. In a letter that might have been ghost-written by right-wing guerrilla "journalist" Andrew Breitbart, Stearns also demands documentation regarding criminal conduct, sexual abuse, and sex-trafficking policies at Planned Parenthood.

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